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Get Out of This Popular Oil Stock Now

By Matt Badiali, editor, Stansberry Research Resource Report
Wednesday, September 30, 2015

It used to be a world leader in offshore oil exploration.
But now, thanks to bad management decisions, this oil giant is in trouble. Shares are down around 35% over the past year. And they're likely to fall even further...
Royal Dutch Shell made headlines this week when it announced it will stop exploring for oil off the coast of Alaska.
The news shouldn't have come as a surprise. The $7 billion project was a terrible idea from the start.
You see, there are several difficulties that come with drilling in the Arctic.
For example:
•  The Arctic is completely empty, which makes getting people and equipment there expensive.
•  Most oil companies don't have experience drilling and operating in the extreme climate.
•  There are no pipelines... oil and gas must come in and out by boat.
•  The area is politically risky because many countries claim the region as their own.
•  Many environmental activists have protested drilling in the area because of its marine life.
With these difficulties, the oil produced in the Arctic would have been among the most expensive in the world. Drilling there would only have worked if we had high oil prices.
But by July, the price of European benchmark Brent crude oil was less than $60 per barrel. That was a 48% fall from its high in June 2014. The decline made every other oil company with an Arctic plan in place at the time scrap it. But Shell decided to head north anyway.
It mobilized its massive polar drill rigs, the Polar Pioneer and the Noble Discoverer, and took 30 support ships and seven aircraft to the Arctic in July, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Now, Shell has come to the same conclusion as everyone else... that Arctic oil is too expensive to bother with today.
Losing $7 billion on a failed project is just the latest blunder from Shell's management team.
I first discussed some of the company's poor leadership decisions in my Stansberry Resource Report newsletter last November.
I wrote:
In May 2010, [Royal Dutch Shell] acquired East Resources, a private oil company, for $4.7 billion. This deal focused primarily on the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania. It also acquired 250,000 acres in the heart of the Eagle Ford Shale.
By 2010, both the Eagle Ford and the Marcellus were popular and expensive locations. Those investments didn't work out so well. The cost to simply acquire land to drill was enormous, which had a direct impact on each well's economics. Ultimately, the costs of operating in the area were simply too high. In 2013, Royal Dutch Shell took a pretax write down of $3 billion on its North American shale assets.
You can see the effect that poor management decisions are having on Shell's share price in the chart below.
And the stock isn't likely to recover soon.
As we've told you in these pages before, an excess supply will keep oil prices low for a while. This will put a strain on all oil companies... but Shell especially. You see, while most oil companies have been focusing on cost-effective exploration and production, Shell's management team has instead been bleeding cash on boondoggles like the Arctic project. And as of right now, that seems unlikely to change.
In short, if you own this stock, I recommend selling now. Shares are likely headed lower.
Good investing,
Matt Badiali

Further Reading:

"If you want to invest in the oil sector, conventional wisdom says Big Oil stocks like ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Royal Dutch Shell are the best way to do it," Brian Weepie writes. But buying these "safe" oil stocks is riskier than you think. Get all the details here.
Before you invest one dime in natural resources, this classic interview with master resource investor Rick Rule is a must-read. In it, he reveals everything you need to know to master the resource market's cyclicality. If you catch one of these big cycles at the wrong time, you can lose a fortune. But if you catch one early, you may never have to work again...

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