Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Today, I'm going to show you how to use one of the world's most valuable trading strategies...
This idea can make you hundreds-of-percent profits in under a year. It's an incredible wealth-building strategy that should be in every investor's "toolbox."
And it begins with a good crisis...
As regular Growth Stock Wire readers know, when assets suffer big declines because of industry downturns, military conflicts, or political problems, they become very out-of-favor... and very cheap. When conditions and sentiment improve just a tiny bit, these depressed assets can jump higher like coiled springs.
My colleagues and I have shown you a few of these situations in these pages recently – like the crises in corn, offshore drillers, and coal. Eventually, these markets will rebound... and double or triple your money.
So is it time to buy?
To understand what exactly what we need to see in order to get the best possible odds in our favor, let's revisit a foundational piece of trading wisdom... It comes from George Soros, one of the world's greatest traders. And I consider it "the most important thing ever said about trading."
"It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong."
When you're trading a crisis, it's easy to lose too much money when you're wrong. Remember, a bad situation can get worse. And it can burn a lot of capital while it does. The downside from here is always 100%.
That's why we wait for the price to stop falling. We want to be in position for the rally. A rally can't start until the correction ends.
When you're trading a crisis situation, I also suggest setting a tight stop... If the asset starts to fall again, we can step aside quickly.
And I suggest trading crisis situations with a small position size. These trades are "high risk." They're as likely to move in our favor as a flipped coin is to land on heads.
A 50-50 shot at profits might sound terrible. But let's go back to Soros' quote: "It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important..."
When you're trading "bad to less bad" scenarios, as my colleague Steve Sjuggerud calls them, your batting average barely matters. What matters is that you occasionally knock the ball out of the park. What matters is that you make a LOT of money when you're right.
Trading deeply depressed assets is a great way to set yourself up to make a lot of money. But it's likely you'll strike out a few times before you hit that home run. The first three rules of trading a crisis situation are designed to keep your losses small when you do strike out.
The last rule is keep coming back to the plate.
Don't be afraid to stop out for small losses several times. Wait for the asset to stop falling, put a little bit of money into the trade, and if it doesn't work out, no problem. Exit quickly and watch for the next good setup.
Consider the chart below of aluminum giant Alcoa (AA). We recommended the trade in DailyWealth Trader in October of last year.
That was extraordinary timing... Alcoa took off the day after we published the issue.
That doesn't usually happen.
If you look at the chart above, you'll see the stock spent about 18 months see-sawing along a bottom before it finally started to climb. Someone trying to "crisis trade" aluminum might have stopped out two or three times along the way.
It would have been a shame if he had given up... The triple-digit rally that began in October more than made up for a handful of 10% or 15% drops.
Crisis trading isn't easy. You'll occasionally see us buy in "too early" when an asset suffers an extreme selloff.
But as long as we keep our losses small, I consider those good trades. They're worth a shot... Because when they work out, you make much more money than you lose when they don't.
In sum, the four rules of crisis trading are:
1. Wait for the price to stop falling.
2. Use a tight stop.
3. Keep your position size small.
4. Give the trade a few chances to work out.
I expect at least one or two of the crisis situations we've shown you recently to reverse... and begin a triple-digit rally.
You'll be able to use these four rules to make hundreds of percent when that happens... and again and again in the years to come.
Amber Lee Mason
Amber has another simple idea you can add to your "trader's toolbox" today to dramatically increase your odds of success... Learn what it is right here.
The U.S. dollar just made an extreme move," Amber writes. "And it triggered a series of big changes in many major asset classes. If you were prepared with our 'catastrophe-prevention plan,' you're doing just fine. If not, there's something very important... and very basic... you need to understand..."
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