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More Upside Ahead for Gold

By Jeff Clark
Thursday, December 12, 2013

It's about time for a gold rally.
 
After the bullish setup we saw two weeks ago, it was disappointing to see the precious metal decline and nearly take out support at $1,210 per ounce. That would have shifted the short-term view to bearish.
 
But it didn't happen.
 
Gold managed to hold above its support line. And it bounced back strongly – to the point where anyone who bought the metal on my recommendation last month is now showing a profit on the trade.
 
And there are even more gains ahead...
 
In November, we looked at a weekly chart of gold and the positive setup in the MACD indicator. Today, we're looking at the daily pattern. And it's bullish. Take a look...
 
daily gold price chart MACD

Gold has broken out to the upside of a bullish falling-wedge pattern. And it has done so with a positive cross on the MACD, a momentum indicator.
 
Without getting too complicated, when the black line crosses over the red line, it's bullish. The red arrows point to where that bullish cross occurred over the past few months. Each time, it led to a short-term move higher for gold. We should see something similar this time as well.
 
Of course, we can't rule out a possible retest of the former resistance line of the wedge pattern around $1,230 per ounce. But that pullback will be a buying opportunity.
 
Gold should rally to at least the first red resistance line near $1,290 per ounce. And there's a good chance we could see the metal get back up to the second resistance line above $1,350.
 
The weekly chart of gold remains bullish. And now we have the daily chart jumping into the bullish camp. So it looks like more gains are in store for the metal.
 
Traders should hold onto their gold and add to their positions on any pullback toward $1,230 per ounce.
 
Best regards and good trading,
 
Jeff Clark




Further Reading:

Dr. David "Doc" Eifrig has shown DailyWealth readers how powerful it can be to hold "chaos hedges" – like gold – in your portfolio... "When investors get nervous about bad economic news... debt crises in Europe... and the specter of runaway inflation in the United States," he writes, "stocks fall, and gold and silver rise." Learn how Doc protects his wealth with precious metals here and here.
 
In this must-read essay, Dan Ferris explains how owning physical gold and silver preserves the purchasing power of your wealth. The Fed is "an imbecile with a hammer. The hammer is money-printing, and every economic problem is a nail. So you should always own gold..."

In The Daily Crux
Market Notes
Natural gas is the best-performing commodity over the past month... up 20%.
 
10-year interest rates surge from 1.7% to 2.8% since May.
 
"Gambling boom" sends casino giants Las Vegas Sands and Wynn Resorts to new all-time highs.
 
Credit-card company MasterCard soars 212% in three years.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1782.22 -1.1% +24.8%
Oil (USO) 34.98 -0.9% +11.2%
Gold (GLD) 120.86 -0.8% -27.0%
Silver (SLV) 19.55 -0.6% -38.7%
U.S. Dollar 79.88 -0.1% -0.2%
Euro 1.38 +0.3% +6.1%
Volatility (^VIX) 15.42 +10.9% -1.0%
Gold Stocks (^HUI) 197.37 -3.8% -54.8%
10-Year Yield 2.84 +1.4% +72.1%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Japan (EWJ) 11.85 -0.9% +28.8%
Israel (ISL) 16.65 -0.5% +27.6%
USA (SPY) 178.72 -1.1% +27.3%
Taiwan (EWT) 14.28 -0.9% +6.1%
Russia (TRF) 14.73 -0.9% +5.2%
China (FXI) 38.53 -3.3% +2.2%
S. Korea (EWY) 62.34 -2.0% +1.5%
Canada (EWC) 28.42 -1.5% +0.9%
India (IFN) 20.63 -1.6% -0.3%
Singapore (EWS) 12.97 -1.3% -3.3%
S. Africa (EZA) 61.81 -2.0% -6.4%
Lat.America (ILF) 36.61 -2.4% -12.7%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Alt. Energy (PBW) 5.97 -2.6% +52.3%
Media (PBS) 24.74 -1.1% +51.4%
Biotech (PBE) 35.53 -2.5% +50.9%
Defense (PPA) 29.33 -1.4% +43.5%
Transportation (IYT) 126.30 -1.6% +38.0%
Consumer Svcs (IYC) 117.46 -0.8% +36.4%
Retail (PMR) 33.72 +0.0% +34.3%
Health Care (IYH) 113.50 -1.8% +34.1%
Industrials (IYJ) 96.04 -1.5% +33.5%
Financials (IYF) 77.44 -1.2% +31.3%
Big Tech (QQQQ) 85.18 -1.3% +30.9%
Software (PSJ) 34.10 -1.0% +26.9%
Semis (PSI) 18.03 -1.2% +25.3%
Construction (PKB) 20.70 -1.8% +23.5%
Nanotech (PXN) 6.93 -1.0% +21.0%
Water (PHO) 24.43 -1.5% +19.9%
Telecom (IYZ) 27.88 -1.0% +19.5%
Insurance (PIC) 19.01 +0.1% +18.3%
Basic Mat (IYM) 77.52 -1.8% +17.4%
Utilities (XLU) 37.52 -0.8% +9.8%
Real Estate (IYR) 62.43 -2.2% +0.7%

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