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Most Folks Would Call You Crazy for Owning These Stocks

By Amber Lee Mason and Brian Hunt, DailyWealth Trader
Tuesday, October 15, 2013

The market just confirmed a "crazy" idea we showed you last month...
The steelmaking industry is one of the market's major "boom and bust" sectors. And for the past few years, steel has been in "bust mode." Steel prices have fallen more than 30% from their pre-financial-crisis levels... And some smaller players in the steel sector are in danger of going bankrupt.
The price action is terrible. The news is terrible. The sentiment is terrible. In other words, things are definitely "bad" for the steel sector. Most folks would call you crazy for owning these stocks.
And that's precisely why we suggested you buy.
U.S. Steel (X) is America's largest steelmaker... It makes steel that goes into automobiles, structures, appliances, and containers. The "bust" conditions destroyed the stock. Shares fell from a high of $60 in early 2011 to a recent low of $16 – a 73% decline.
U.S. steel (X) drops
But as we explained, big steel busts are followed by big steel rallies. And with a gradually improving U.S. economy, we expected conditions to improve for the sector...
The improving economy has caused housing stocks to gain 135% in the past two years... It's driving a boom in auto sales (and Ford Motor shares)... And it's driving a rally in shipping stocks.
Steel was the next train ready to leave the station.
It's already on its way...
The stock is up 20% since we recommended DailyWealth Trader readers buy it two months ago. And just yesterday, shares of U.S. Steel broke out to their highest level in seven months.
U.S. Steel's upside breakout is extra-impressive when you consider what the broad market is doing.
While U.S. Steel is up 20% over the last two months, the broad market has moved sideways with a lot of volatility. Its recent dips have scared many investors. Meanwhile, U.S. Steel has quietly registered a large short-term gain. And it has done so on strong trading volume.
This is a sign that big-money investors are buying shares in this beaten-up "boom and bust" play. Big investors are stepping in to help produce the next boom.
Given the big short-term rally, U.S. Steel is a bit "overstretched" to the upside... So we don't recommend taking a new position at these levels.
But if the crowd warms up to the "crazy" idea of owning steel – if the sector returns to "boom" mode – there are big gains to come.
Good trading,
Amber Lee Mason and Brian Hunt

Further Reading:

Steel stocks have lots of "bad to less bad" potential... especially after a major bust. Learn how to spot set-ups like this one – and make massive returns – in this interview with Brian Hunt.
If you're looking to make money in the resource sector, don't miss this interview with master resource investor Rick Rule. Rick reveals how to master the giant cycles in natural resources... and make life-changing profits.

In The Daily Crux
Market Notes
Energy companies Chicago Bridge & Iron and Cheniere Energy hit new 52-week highs.
German-stock fund EWG is up 26% over the last 12 months.
Sandwich shop Potbelly slumps... shares are down 20%-plus since going public last week.
Credit-card companies Capital One and MasterCard are within 1% of one-year highs.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
S&P 500 1710.14 +0.4% +19.7%
Oil (USO) 36.87 +0.3% +8.4%
Gold (GLD) 122.83 +0.2% -27.8%
Silver (SLV) 20.50 -0.1% -36.8%
U.S. Dollar 80.32 -0.1% +0.8%
Euro 1.36 +0.4% +5.0%
Volatility (^VIX) 16.07 +2.2% -0.4%
Gold Stocks (^HUI) 213.10 +0.4% -57.0%
10-Year Yield 2.69 +0.4% +62.1%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Japan (EWJ) 11.96 +0.2% +35.5%
Israel (ISL) 16.34 +0.3% +29.3%
USA (SPY) 170.94 +0.4% +22.3%
Taiwan (EWT) 14.48 -0.7% +14.1%
S. Korea (EWY) 64.07 +0.3% +12.6%
China (FXI) 38.50 +0.4% +8.9%
S. Africa (EZA) 65.97 +0.4% +6.4%
Singapore (EWS) 13.63 +0.1% +5.2%
Canada (EWC) 28.57 +0.2% +2.1%
Russia (TRF) 15.28 +0.3% +0.9%
India (IFN) 20.70 -0.1% +0.7%
Lat.America (ILF) 39.90 +0.9% -3.6%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Alt. Energy (PBW) 6.61 +0.5% +68.2%
Biotech (PBE) 34.48 +0.5% +44.3%
Defense (PPA) 27.90 +0.3% +43.2%
Media (PBS) 23.54 +0.8% +42.9%
Retail (PMR) 33.97 +0.3% +39.3%
Semis (PSI) 17.82 +2.4% +36.8%
Transportation (IYT) 118.89 +0.0% +34.2%
Industrials (IYJ) 91.62 +0.4% +32.2%
Construction (PKB) 20.54 +0.3% +31.4%
Consumer Svcs (IYC) 111.24 +0.5% +31.3%
Health Care (IYH) 108.55 +0.7% +29.8%
Financials (IYF) 75.15 +0.5% +29.4%
Water (PHO) 23.91 +0.1% +24.9%
Big Tech (QQQQ) 79.75 +0.7% +21.3%
Software (PSJ) 33.07 +0.5% +20.9%
Insurance (PIC) 19.01 +0.1% +18.3%
Telecom (IYZ) 28.12 0.0% +15.2%
Nanotech (PXN) 6.98 +0.0% +14.7%
Basic Mat (IYM) 75.28 +0.3% +14.6%
Utilities (XLU) 37.91 -0.5% +8.1%
Real Estate (IYR) 65.21 0.0% +6.1%

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