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My Plan for Trading Gold Stocks

By Jeff Clark
Thursday, August 30, 2012

There's still plenty of money to be made in gold stocks.
 
They've had a great run. The Market Vectors Gold Miners Fund (GDX) is up 16% in just the past month. After such a huge move, it's normal to expect a brief pullback or at least a pause in the rally. And we'll probably get that.  
 
But traders should use any weakness in the gold sector over the next week or so as a buying opportunity... because there's more upside ahead...  
 
Take a look...
 
 
 
The blue lines on the chart above show the trading range for gold stocks since April. GDX is now bumping into the upper end of the trading range. So it's reasonable to expect some sort of a pullback here.  
 
But if this month-long rally is really the start of a longer-term move higher for the gold sector, GDX shouldn't give back more than 50% of its recent gains.
 
Traders should view any drop toward support (the red line) just below $45 as a gift from the market gods. It's a low-risk entry spot to jump into the sector.
 
Of course, we may not get that pullback. The market doesn't always give traders a low-risk chance to hop onboard a major uptrend.  
 
It's possible GDX could just power higher from here. A decisive move above $48 per share will push GDX out of its five-month-long trading range. If that happens, forget about waiting for a pullback. Just hop on board. GDX will be heading higher toward its next resistance level at about $57.50.
 
That's how I plan to trade the next move in gold stocks. I'm buying any pullback toward support near $45... or on any breakout above $48.
 
Best regards and good trading, 
 
Jeff Clark 




Further Reading:

Earlier this week, Amber Lee Mason and Brian Hunt told readers about gold's recent breakout. "It's time to be long gold," they write. Learn their favorite ways for playing the rally here: As Expected, the Gold Breakout Has Arrived.
 
Over the longer term, DailyWealth's Steve Sjuggerud believes buying GDX shares today could result in triple-digit gains in less than a year. Get the full story here: Fast 200% Gains Possible: Gold Stocks Are Record-Cheap.

In The Daily Crux
Market Notes
Silver is the best-performing major asset over the past month... up more than 12%.  
 
"Cash King" Google breaks out... shares hit a four-year high.  
 
Chinese oil giants are stuck in a downtrend... PetroChina, CNOOC, and Sinopec are all down 15%-plus over the past six months.
 
Dell touches a fresh three-year low... company can't avoid the "Death of the PC."
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1410.49 +0.1% +16.6%
Oil (USO) 35.38 -1.2% +4.2%
Gold (GLD) 160.59 -0.7% -7.7%
Silver (SLV) 29.75 -0.6% -25.1%
U.S. Dollar 81.57 +0.3% +9.9%
Euro 1.25 -0.5% -13.9%
Volatility (^VIX) 17.06 +3.5% -47.2%
Gold Stocks (^HUI) 444.74 -1.3% -24.9%
10-Year Yield 1.65 +1.2% -27.3%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA (SPY) 141.51 +0.1% +19.1%
Singapore (EWS) 13.10 +0.6% +6.9%
S. Korea (EWY) 56.78 +0.6% +3.5%
S. Africa (EZA) 65.28 +0.3% +0.8%
Japan (EWJ) 9.22 +0.3% -3.1%
Taiwan (EWT) 12.53 +0.2% -3.5%
Canada (EWC) 27.55 -0.1% -3.8%
Lat.America (ILF) 41.64 -1.3% -6.4%
China (FXI) 33.50 -0.3% -9.4%
Israel (ISL) 11.90 +0.2% -13.7%
India (IFN) 21.09 -0.7% -16.6%
Russia (TRF) 14.58 -0.4% -20.2%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Retail (PMR) 25.46 +0.4% +30.8%
Construction (PKB) 14.74 +0.5% +29.6%
Big Tech (QQQQ) 68.40 +0.0% +26.5%
Consumer Svcs (IYC) 84.38 +0.5% +26.2%
Media (PBS) 15.94 +0.7% +22.3%
Health Care (IYH) 81.63 +0.3% +22.1%
Software (PSJ) 27.56 +0.2% +21.1%
Real Estate (IYR) 65.44 +0.0% +20.6%
Biotech (PBE) 23.32 +0.0% +19.1%
Industrials (IYJ) 69.78 +0.1% +18.0%
Financials (IYF) 56.89 +0.2% +17.1%
Insurance (PIC) 16.34 +0.0% +15.7%
Defense (PPA) 19.71 +0.0% +14.9%
Telecom (IYZ) 24.20 +0.7% +12.8%
Utilities (XLU) 36.57 -0.2% +12.1%
Water (PHO) 18.90 +0.2% +10.8%
Transportation (IYT) 90.06 -0.2% +9.8%
Semis (PSI) 14.85 +0.3% +9.6%
Oil Service (OIH) 40.33 -1.1% +0.0%
Big Pharma (PPH) 39.74 +0.1% +0.0%
Basic Mat (IYM) 65.59 +0.1% -4.0%
Nanotech (PXN) 6.25 -0.5% -14.0%
Alt. Energy (PBW) 4.25 -0.2% -38.5%

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