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My Wife's Not the Only One Who Wants a Gun

By Jeff Clark
Friday, April 30, 2010

My wife started a bull market in gun purchases.
 
A few months ago, I told you about how my wife wanted a handgun for Christmas. Since then, several of my friends – from the hunting enthusiast down to the pacifist vegetarian – have armed themselves. Their reasons vary. But for the most part, they're buying guns because they're afraid they may not be able to purchase one later, if they need it.
 
Based on the latest earnings report from Sturm, Ruger & Company (RGR), my friends aren't the only ones thinking this way.
 
RGR, one of America's top handgun manufacturers, reported $0.43 per share earnings for last quarter. It was 25% better than the results for the same time last year, and nearly 100% above what most analysts were expecting. Furthermore, the company raised guidance for next quarter and indicated strong demand for its products.
 
It seems everyone wants a gun.
 
As you can see from the chart, the report caught a lot of investors by surprise...
 
 
 
Now the question is... who else is likely to benefit from Americans' increasing desire to protect themselves? The obvious answer is Smith & Wesson (SWHC). SWHC has been making firearms in America for the past 158 years. It feels like the stock has been stuck in a tight trading range for that long as well. Or at least since I first started following it last November.
 
That, however, may be about to change.
 
SWHC is scheduled to report earnings on June 21. And so far, it doesn't appear investors are expecting much excitement. Here's the chart...
 
 
 
If the company reports results as bullish as RGR, then SWHC's share price may be due for a sharp spike as well. At $4.25 per share, SWHC trades at seven times earnings and only 0.7 times sales. So it's hard to imagine it getting much cheaper.
 
A good report may be the catalyst SWHC needs to push the shares higher.
 
At least, it's worth a shot.
 
Best regards and good trading,
 
Jeff Clark




In The Daily Crux
Market Notes
Gold miners surge... Newmont, NovaGold, Allied Nevada reach fresh highs.
 
Chinese search giant Baidu vaults higher... up over 13% to new high yesterday.
 
Americans hit the road again... Winnebago jumps 18% this month to new 52-week high.
 
Earnings today...Avon, Chevron, D.R. Horton, Newell Rubbermaid, Simon Property.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1221.53 +1.3% +10.1%
Oil 38.31 +1.4% -0.6%
Gold 138.07 +2.1% +16.3%
Silver 28.60 +2.4% +53.6%
US-Dollar 80.67 -0.8% +8.1%
Euro 1.32 +0.6% -12.1%
Volatility 18.01 -7.1% -19.8%
Gold Stocks 581.56 +3.0% +17.0%
10-Year Yield 3.02 +0.7% -10.7%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA 122.89 +0.3% +11.3%
Canada 30.50 +0.2% +16.2%
Russia 21.94 +1.4% +18.1%
India 37.85 +0.3% +22.3%
Israel 16.69 +1.3% +10.8%
Japan 10.64 +0.6% +6.5%
Singapore 13.73 -1.1% +18.8%
Taiwan 14.78 +0.4% +19.2%
S. Korea 57.31 +1.3% +23.4%
S. Africa 71.87 +1.4% +28.2%
China 44.42 -1.4% -0.6%
Lat.America 53.17 +0.7% +8.4%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Oil Service 137.59 +1.0% +18.9%
Big Pharma 64.14 +0.0% -3.2%
Internet 72.07 -0.1% +23.4%
Semis 16.22 +1.2% +29.4%
Utilities 31.28 +0.2% +1.5%
Defense 18.52 +0.1% +10.6%
Nanotech 10.03 +0.4% +1.6%
Alt. Energy 10.08 +1.3% -3.3%
Water 18.49 +1.0% +14.5%
Insurance 16.14 +0.4% +21.1%
Biotech 20.54 -0.2% +28.1%
Retail 19.70 +0.3% +30.2%
Software 24.79 +0.8% +25.9%
Big Tech 53.87 +0.3% +22.7%
Construction 13.10 +0.9% +15.7%
Media 13.64 +0.5% +26.0%
Consumer Svcs 67.39 +0.2% +24.5%
Financials 55.04 +0.3% +7.4%
Health Care 64.30 +0.1% +2.0%
Industrials 63.54 +0.5% +21.0%
Basic Mat 74.35 +1.1% +25.3%
Real Estate 55.32 +0.1% +25.0%
Transportation 91.77 +0.7% +26.9%
Telecom 22.59 +0.5% +17.8%