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This Chart Has HUGE Negative Implications for China

By Jeff Clark
Tuesday, April 20, 2010

 
Isn't it nice that the Shanghai Stock Exchanged plunged 4.7% yesterday?
 
Last month, I shared with you a chart of the Shanghai stock market. I argued a big move was on the way, and it would most likely be lower. Here's a fresh look at that chart...
 
 
You can see the chart has broken through the bottom of its consolidating-triangle pattern. This has HUGE negative implications.
 
A consolidating triangle is formed through a series of lower highs and higher lows. Basically, a stock stays within a trading range, and the range gets smaller and smaller.
 
This consolidation time allows the stock to build up energy for the next big move. It's like water pressure building up inside a folded garden hose. Once you unfold the hose, the pressure releases and the water bursts out. The same thing happens to stocks when they break out of a consolidation pattern.
 
Yesterday's 4.7% drop in the Shanghai Stock Exchange was only the beginning. The pattern projects a move down to about 2,700, or another 10% lower. There may be a short-term bounce to come back up and test the breakdown level. Over the next several weeks, though, this market is headed lower.
 
There are several ways traders can profit on this trend. You can buy the ProShares Short China Exchange Traded Fund (YXI). This is an ETF designed to return 100% of the inverse performance of the Xinhua China 25 Index. It's not an exact match to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, but it's close enough.
 
Aggressive traders can buy the ProShares Ultra Short China Fund (FXP) – a leveraged fund that returns 200% of the inverse performance of the Xinhua China 25 Index.
 
For conservative traders, however, there's a better idea. Last month, I told my Advanced Income subscribers about a trade that could generate up to 50% returns by June. It could even profit if I'm wrong and China's stock market moves higher from here.
 
It's not too late to get in on the trade. For more information, click here.
 
Best regards and good trading,
 
Jeff Clark




In The Daily Crux
Market Notes
Fast-food rally continues... McDonald's adds 4% during April, hits fresh highs.
 
Biotech fund PBE touches new high, up 13% since February.
 
Crude oil drops 7%... heading back down to $80 a barrel.
 
Earnings today... Apple, Coca-Cola, Delta, Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1221.53 +1.3% +10.1%
Oil 37.77 +1.5% -2.8%
Gold 135.20 -0.1% +13.4%
Silver 27.93 +0.4% +47.9%
US-Dollar 80.67 -0.8% +8.1%
Euro 1.32 +0.6% -12.1%
Volatility 19.39 -9.2% -8.2%
Gold Stocks 564.53 +1.3% +10.6%
10-Year Yield 3.00 +1.4% -9.6%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA 122.56 +1.3% +10.2%
Canada 30.44 +1.3% +13.8%
Russia 21.63 +2.3% +16.7%
India 37.73 +1.9% +20.0%
Israel 16.47 +0.9% +9.7%
Japan 10.58 +1.0% +7.4%
Singapore 13.88 +1.0% +19.2%
Taiwan 14.72 +1.6% +17.8%
S. Korea 56.56 +1.7% +22.8%
S. Africa 70.85 +3.9% +22.9%
China 45.06 +1.4% +0.1%
Lat.America 52.82 +1.4% +6.7%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Oil Service 136.18 +1.5% +14.8%
Big Pharma 64.13 +0.6% -3.3%
Internet 72.13 +0.7% +22.3%
Semis 16.03 +2.1% +28.9%
Utilities 31.21 +0.3% +1.6%
Defense 18.51 +1.3% +10.1%
Nanotech 9.99 +1.3% +0.0%
Alt. Energy 9.95 +1.4% -4.4%
Water 18.31 +1.1% +12.2%
Insurance 16.07 +1.2% +18.3%
Biotech 20.58 +1.1% +27.1%
Retail 19.65 +0.1% +28.4%
Software 24.59 +0.9% +24.1%
Big Tech 53.73 +1.0% +21.9%
Construction 12.99 +2.1% +13.3%
Media 13.57 +1.1% +25.0%
Consumer Svcs 67.26 +0.8% +23.3%
Financials 54.87 +2.4% +5.2%
Health Care 64.22 +0.7% +1.3%
Industrials 63.25 +1.6% +19.7%
Basic Mat 73.57 +1.6% +21.6%
Real Estate 55.24 +1.4% +23.8%
Transportation 91.17 +1.4% +25.6%
Telecom 22.48 +1.1% +17.1%

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